Thursday in the financial markets promises to be exciting, with several key events that could impact volatility throughout the day. At 6:00 (Warsaw time), we await data on the change in the number of unemployment benefit claims in the UK. Forecasts indicate a slight decrease in claims to 25,800 from the previous 26,500. Next, at 7:30 (Warsaw time), attention will turn to the Swiss National Bank's decisions regarding interest rates and its monetary policy assessment, followed shortly by a press conference at 8:00 (Warsaw time). A key event for the pound will be the publication at 11:00 (Warsaw time), which will include the Bank of England's decision on interest rates and a summary of its monetary policy.
This week, investors witnessed a rise in market anxiety, reflected in the changing Fear & Greed index. From Monday, when the markets were calmer, to Wednesday's UK inflation data, which came in lower than expected, market sentiment was under pressure. Wednesday's CPI inflation data was 2.8%, although a forecast of 3.0% was anticipated, which may influence the Bank of England's decisions regarding further monetary policy actions. Today's data and decisions could introduce additional tensions into the market, especially in light of recent decisions from Japan and Australia.
Today may be full of volatility, especially in the morning hours when key data from the UK and Switzerland will be released. Investors should be particularly alert to monetary policy decisions from both the SNB and the Bank of England, which could influence the direction of the pound and Swiss franc. An important takeaway for today is to prepare for potential surprises and volatility in response to the data, especially in the context of recent days where uncertainty has been a key factor affecting the markets.