Daily Market Overview - May 13, 2026

Today promises to be an exciting day in the financial markets due to the upcoming producer price inflation data in the USA. At 18:00 (Warsaw time), investors will closely monitor the announcement of the PPI m/m and Core PPI m/m indicators. Forecasts indicate that PPI will remain at 0.5% and Core PPI is expected to rise to 0.3% from the previous 0.1%. These results may provide valuable insights into inflationary pressures in the US economy, which in turn could influence expectations regarding future monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve.

In the context of this week's events, yesterday we received consumer inflation data that was expected to mix with market expectations. Yesterday's CPI and Core CPI figures were crucial for assessing the inflation situation and may serve as an important reference point for today's producer data. As noted in previous analyses, market sentiment remains at a 'greed' level, suggesting that investors are willing to take on more risk; however, high inflation data could pose a threat to this optimism.

Traders should pay special attention to the data at 18:00 (Warsaw time), as it may trigger significant volatility in the financial markets. Results that deviate from forecasts could impact expectations regarding monetary policy, which in turn may lead to corrections in asset valuations. Therefore, it is important to remain vigilant, especially since the markets are currently sensitive to any signals regarding inflation.

The current market sentiment, holding at 67 out of 100 points, indicates prevailing greed, which may suggest that investors are still willing to take risks. However, high inflation data could challenge this optimism, especially if today's PPI data forecasts are exceeded. The market's reaction to this data will be crucial, as it may indicate whether the current sentiment levels will be maintained or corrected.