Monday (2026-05-25)
Although Monday does not bring any scheduled readings or economic events, investors will certainly be prepared for an intense week, analyzing available data and forecasts for the coming days. Special attention will be paid to Asian markets, which are the first to start the trading week. The market sentiment, measured by the Fear & Greed Index, remains stable, suggesting that investors may be willing to take moderate risks, albeit with some caution, considering the recent changes in sentiment.
Tuesday (2026-05-26)
On Tuesday, investors will be awaiting developments in international markets, preparing for upcoming data from Australia and New Zealand, which will be published in the early hours of Wednesday. Despite the lack of scheduled macroeconomic publications, Tuesday may be a day of preparations and predictions, especially in the context of expectations for monetary policy decisions in New Zealand and inflation data from Australia. It is also worth paying attention to any unexpected geopolitical events that may impact global markets.
Wednesday (2026-05-27)
Wednesday promises to be a key day for investors interested in Australian and New Zealand markets. At 01:30 (Warsaw time), inflation data for Australia will be released. Trimmed Mean CPI m/m, CPI m/m, and CPI y/y are significant for assessing inflationary pressure. Forecasts indicate stabilization of inflation, with CPI m/m expected at 0.6% (previously 1.1%) and CPI y/y at 4.4% (previously 4.6%). Stable data may suggest that the Reserve Bank of Australia will not need to react quickly with changes in interest rates.
Next, at 02:00 (Warsaw time), the RBNZ will announce its interest rate decision, with stabilization expected at 2.25%. The RBNZ Rate Statement and Monetary Policy Statement will provide further guidance on future monetary policy. The RBNZ press conference at 03:00 (Warsaw time) may also impact the markets, especially if new information regarding New Zealand's economic outlook emerges.
Thursday (2026-05-28)
Thursday will bring key data from the U.S. economy. At 12:30 (Warsaw time), the Core PCE Price Index m/m will be released, which is the Fed's preferred inflation indicator. A forecast of 0.3% suggests stability in core inflation. At the same time, GDP data for the first quarter will be released, with a growth forecast of 2.1%, representing a significant acceleration compared to the previous reading of 0.7%. Strong GDP growth may strengthen expectations for further tightening of monetary policy by the Fed, although current probabilities indicate stabilization of rates at 3.50-3.75%.
Friday (2026-05-29)
Friday's events will begin with a speech by the Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, at 08:20 (Warsaw time). His remarks may provide insights into the future path of monetary policy in the UK, especially in light of recent macroeconomic data, such as rising unemployment and changes in employment.
Later, at 12:30 (Warsaw time), Canadian GDP m/m data will be released, with a forecast of 0.1%, indicating a decline compared to the previous increase of 0.2%. Weaker data may suggest some economic slowdown and impact expectations regarding the Bank of Canada's monetary policy.
In summary, the upcoming week will be filled with key economic events that could significantly impact global financial markets. Investors should closely monitor the publication of economic data, statements from central bankers, and any unexpected geopolitical events that may trigger volatility in the markets.