International agreements and economic indicators in the headlines
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Investors are focusing their attention on tomorrow's FOMC meeting, where it is expected that the Fed will maintain the current interest rate level in the range of 3.50-3.75%. With a probability of 99.4%, markets expect stabilization, which reflects the current sentiment of anticipation among investors. In the context of the declining Fear & Greed index, which currently stands at 40/100, the Fed's decisions could significantly impact market moods. Stability of interest rates is crucial for the further direction of monetary policy, especially in the face of economic uncertainty.
Discussions regarding a potential agreement between the USA and Iran are attracting the attention of global markets. According to information from the Wall Street Journal, this agreement would allow Iran to immediately sell oil, which could impact global commodity prices. The signing of a memorandum of understanding is scheduled for Friday, June 19, which could signify a move towards resolving one of the long-standing geopolitical issues. However, certain tensions remain, as evidenced by Hezbollah's position, which conditions the signing of the agreement on Israel's withdrawal from Lebanon. These events could have far-reaching consequences for stability in the Middle East and global energy markets.
Data on the start of housing construction in the USA was significantly below expectations, reaching a level of 1.177 million, while the forecast was 1.43 million. This indicates a possible slowdown in the construction sector, which could negatively impact the American economy. At the same time, Chinese retail sales fell by 0.6% year on year, which is well below expectations of -0.2%. These data confirm concerns about weakening consumption in China and may affect global supply chains and commodity markets.
Tomorrow's FOMC meeting will be crucial for the further direction of US monetary policy. Investors will also be monitoring the developments surrounding the US-Iran agreement, which may impact global oil prices. Additionally, weak macroeconomic data from the US and China may signal further challenges for the global economy.
The retail sales m/m report provides information on consumer spending in the United Kingdom. An increase in retail sales is a positive signal for the economy, indicating a growing purchasing power among consumers. Changes in this indicator may influence the Bank of England's monetary policy decision...
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) press conference is a key event during which the central bank presents its views on monetary policy and the economic situation in Switzerland. Market participants analyze the statements of SNB members to assess future directions of interest rates and their impact on the...
The SNB Monetary Policy Assessment is a key event during which the Swiss National Bank evaluates the economic situation and makes decisions regarding monetary policy. Market expectations regarding interest rates and inflation can significantly influence the Swiss franc exchange rate and other financ...
The FOMC Press Conference is an event during which members of the Federal Open Market Committee present their views on monetary policy. This is a key moment for investors as it can influence decisions regarding interest rates and the direction of U.S. monetary policy. Market reactions can be signifi...
FOMC Economic Projections is a report published by the Federal Open Market Committee that includes forecasts regarding economic growth, inflation, and interest rates. It is a key document that influences market expectations and investment decisions, as it indicates the future monetary policy of the ...
