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Morning market review - Monday, June 29, 2026

Technical analyses of 12 instruments with options data

Kacper MrukJune 29, 2026Updated: June 29, 20261 min read

Morning Market Overview

The morning market overview indicates a prevailing mood of extreme fear, as reflected by the Fear & Greed Index, which stands at 25. In the context of the current Fed interest rate at 3.50-3.75 and the upcoming FOMC meeting scheduled for July 29, investors remain cautious in the face of unfavorable market conditions. In today's analysis, we will examine twelve key instruments, assess their current trends, and identify potential investment opportunities in this uncertain environment.

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Bitcoin - Daily Chart (D1)

Bitcoin - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart, Bitcoin is in a clear downtrend, with resistance levels around 62,000 USD. Currently, the price is hovering around 60,000 USD, which may serve as psychological support. The trading volume indicates increased activity during declines, suggesting supply pressure. The key support level is 58,000 USD, the breach of which could lead to further declines.

Bitcoin - 4H Chart

Bitcoin - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin is trying to regain lost levels, but every upward attempt encounters strong resistance around 61,000 USD. We are observing a short-term rebound, but the overall sentiment remains negative. Support at 59,000 USD is being tested, and breaking it may accelerate downward movements.

Bitcoin - 1H Chart

Bitcoin - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows consolidation in the range of 59,500-60,500 USD. The current upward movement has encountered resistance near 60,500 USD, which may pose a barrier to further increases. A break below the support level of 59,500 USD could lead to a quick drop to 58,500 USD.

Bitcoin - 15-minute chart

Bitcoin - 15-minute chart

On the 15-minute chart, increased volatility is visible in the range of 59,800-60,200 USD. Currently, the price is attempting to break the level of 60,000 USD, which may indicate short-term upside potential if maintained. Support is located near 59,800 USD.

Bitcoin - Options data

The IBIT options data indicates a clear bearish sentiment with a PUT/CALL ratio of 2.13. Key put levels are concentrated around 32 USD, which corresponds to the support level on Bitstamp:BTCUSD around 58,000 USD. The Max Pain at 32 USD suggests that prices may be heading towards lower values to maximize the loss of option buyers.

Bitcoin - Summary

Analysis indicates a strong downward trend with key support at 58,000 USD. Short- and medium-term charts show the possibility of further declines. Options suggest a continued decrease in prices, supported by a high PUT/CALL ratio. Key resistance is at 62,000 USD. The bias remains negative with a possible test of lower support levels.

Ethereum - Daily Chart (D1)

Ethereum - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of Ethereum, we observe a clear downward trend that has been ongoing for several months. The price has approached the support level around 1550 USD, where consolidation may occur. The current resistance levels are around 1650 USD, and a clear break of this level could signal a potential upward move. However, with the current market sentiment and the Fear & Greed index at 25, further declines are likely.

Ethereum - 4H Chart

Ethereum - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, short-term attempts to rebound are visible, but the price remains under pressure. Key support is located around 1550 USD, while resistance can be observed around 1600 USD. The current consolidation may suggest preparation for a larger move, but without a clear breakout in either direction, sentiment remains uncertain.

Ethereum - 1H Chart

Ethereum - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows consolidation in a narrow range between 1550 and 1600 USD. Volume is relatively low, which may indicate a lack of decisiveness among investors. A breakout above the resistance level at 1600 USD could stimulate further buying, but a lack of support below 1550 USD may result in further declines.

Ethereum - 15-minute chart

Ethereum - 15-minute chart

On the 15-minute chart, volatility is visible within a narrow range, with slight attempts to break above 1580 USD. Volume remains low, suggesting a lack of significant interest in the short term. Short-term resistance is visible at 1585 USD, while support is at 1570 USD.

Ethereum - Options data

Options data indicates a dominance of put positions with a put/call ratio of 1.29, suggesting bearish sentiment. The largest open interest for put options is at 6 USD, which is far below current prices. This may indicate expectations of further declines. The max pain level at 6 USD also signals downward pressure.

Ethereum - Summary

The current sentiment in the Ethereum market is negative, with potential further declines. Key support is at 1550 USD, and resistance is at 1600 USD. Options data and the fear index suggest that the market is in a state of fear, which may lead to further selling pressure. Investors should exercise caution while monitoring these key levels.

Gold - Daily Chart (D1)

Gold - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of XAUUSD, a downward trend is visible, which has been ongoing for several months. The price is below key moving averages, confirming negative sentiment. Currently, the quotes are oscillating around the level of 4061 USD, which may serve as support. The nearest resistance is around 4200 USD. The trading volume is variable, suggesting a lack of a clear direction in the short term.

Gold - 4H Chart

Gold - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart of XAUUSD, we observe consolidation after a recent rebound from a local minimum. The price is moving in a narrow range between 4030 and 4080 USD. Technical indicators suggest a possible breakout, but there is a lack of a clear signal. Key support and resistance levels will be decisive for the further direction of movement.

Gold - 1H Chart

Gold - 1H Chart

The hourly chart of XAUUSD shows an attempt to bounce off the level of 4030 USD. However, the upward movement is limited, and the price encounters resistance around 4070 USD. The momentum is weak, which may suggest a continuation of consolidation. Investors should watch for price reactions at the levels of 4030 and 4070 USD.

Gold - 15min Chart

Gold - 15min Chart

On the 15-minute chart of XAUUSD, there is an attempt to break the resistance at 4065 USD. Short-term technical indicators suggest a possibility of a downward correction, which could bring the price down to the support level at 4050 USD. Monitoring the volume will help in identifying potential breakouts.

Gold - Options Data

Options data for GLD indicates a strong bullish sentiment with a very low put/call ratio of 0.00. The dominance of call options suggests expectations of further increases. Key levels for call options are at strikes of 375, 376, and 380 USD. The highest activity is visible at the 376 USD level, which coincides with the max pain level. The lack of interest in put options confirms expectations for the continuation of the bullish trend.

Gold - Summary

Gold XAUUSD is in a downtrend on the daily chart, with consolidation on lower timeframes. Key levels are 4030 USD as support and 4070-4080 USD as resistance. Options data suggests potential increases, which may support a breakout from the current consolidation. Investors should watch price reactions at key support and resistance levels.

Silver - Daily Chart (D1)

Silver - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of XAGUSD, a clear downward trend can be observed that has been ongoing for several months. The price is approaching a key support level at 58 USD, which previously acted as support. The moving averages are pointing downwards, suggesting a continuation of selling pressure. The trading volume is moderate, which may indicate a lack of decisive accumulation at the current price levels.

Silver - 4H Chart

Silver - 4H Chart

The 4-hour chart shows consolidation in the range of 57.80 - 59.00 USD. The price has bounced off the lower boundary of this range several times, which may indicate temporary stabilization. Technical indicators, such as RSI, are neutral, suggesting a lack of clear momentum in the short term. A breakout above 59 USD could suggest a short-term trend reversal.

Silver - 1H Chart

Silver - 1H Chart

On the hourly chart, a slight bounce from the support level of 57.80 USD is noticeable. The price is attempting to break through the resistance at 59 USD, which is crucial for potential growth. The volume is low, which may suggest a lack of conviction among investors for an upward move. The short-term trend remains unclear, with the possibility of testing lower levels.

Silver - 15min Chart

Silver - 15min Chart

The 15-minute chart shows a slight upward movement, but with limited momentum. The price oscillates around 58.80 USD, and the momentum indicators are neutral. A breakout above 59 USD could attract greater demand, but currently, there is a lack of clear direction. Monitoring the volume may be crucial for assessing the further direction of the price movement.

Silver - Options Data

Options data for SLV indicates a very bullish sentiment, with a low put/call ratio of 0.45. Key call levels point to upward targets, especially at strikes of 55 USD and 60 USD. The maximum pain point is at 55 USD, suggesting that the market may aim for this level. Volume and open interest are significantly higher on the call side, further emphasizing the dominant bullish sentiment.

Silver - Summary

Analysis indicates a downward trend on the daily chart with potential support at 58 USD. Short-term charts show consolidation and the possibility of a rebound, but lack decisive momentum. Options data suggest bullish sentiment with a target at 55 USD. Key levels to watch are 58 USD as support and 59 USD as resistance. The bias remains neutral, with potential growth upon breaking the resistance.

S&P 500 - Daily chart (D1)

S&P 500 - Daily chart (D1)

On the daily chart of the S&P 500, consolidation is visible after a previous strong increase. Currently, the price oscillates around the level of 7350, which suggests a potential break of the upward trend. Support is located around 7200, and resistance at 7500. Technical indicators indicate the possibility of further correction, but there is no clear signal for a trend change. Volumes are moderate, confirming investors' uncertainty. It will be crucial to stay above 7200 to continue the bullish sentiment.

S&P 500 - 4H Chart

S&P 500 - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500, a descending channel is visible, suggesting selling pressure. The price is approaching the support level around 7300, which may cause a short-term rebound. However, a break below this level will open the way for further declines towards 7200. Momentum indicators suggest a possible continuation of declines, but the approaching support zone may cause a rebound.

S&P 500 - 1H Chart

S&P 500 - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows clear fluctuations in the range of 7300-7400. Currently, the price is close to the lower boundary, which increases the risk of breaking support. We are observing a decreasing volume, which may indicate the exhaustion of selling pressure. It will be crucial to stay above 7300 to avoid further sell-off. A potential rebound could direct the price back towards 7400.

S&P 500 - 15-minute chart

S&P 500 - 15-minute chart

On the 15-minute chart, there is a short-term consolidation in a narrow range. The price is moving between 7330-7360, indicating a lack of decisiveness among investors. Technical indicators suggest the possibility of a short-term rebound, but there is no clear direction. Monitoring the level of 7350 will be important for determining the further price movement in the short term.

S&P 500 - Options data

Options data on SPY indicates a very bullish market sentiment, with a zero put/call ratio. The highest interest in call options is at 757, which suggests bullish expectations. The lack of open positions in put options confirms the dominance of bulls. The maximum pain level is also at 757, which may suggest that the market will aim for this level in the near future. The high volume of calls indicates strong expectations for increases.

S&P 500 - Summary

The S&P 500 is in consolidation with downward pressure on shorter time frames. Key support at the level of 7300 may be tested, and its breakout will open the way to 7200. Options data indicates a bullish sentiment, with a target at 757. However, the current market fear may limit the gains. Key levels to watch are 7300 as support and 7500 as resistance. The bias is neutral with a slight indication of increases if support is maintained.

Oil - Daily Chart (D1)

Oil - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of WTI crude oil, a clear downward trend is visible, which has been ongoing for several months, with the current price level around 70.18 USD. The price is below the main resistance levels, suggesting a continuation of selling pressure. An important level to watch is 65 USD as potential support, and 75 USD as resistance. The lack of strong reversal signals indicates further downside risk.

Oil - 4H Chart

Oil - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, there is a consolidation in the range of 69–71 USD, following a previous decline. The formation of a base in this range may suggest an attempt at stabilization; however, the lack of clear buy signals indicates possible further declines. Key levels are 72 USD as resistance and 68 USD as support.

Oil - 1H Chart

Oil - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows a short-term rebound from the level of 69.5 USD, but the lack of strength in the upward movement may suggest that this is just a correction in the downward trend. Significant levels are 71 USD as resistance and 69 USD as support. Observing the volume indicates a lack of strong buying interest.

Oil - 15min Chart

Oil - 15min Chart

On the 15-minute chart, volatility is visible in the range of 69.8–70.2 USD, suggesting local consolidation without a clear advantage for buyers or sellers. Short-term support is at 69.8 USD, while resistance is at 70.3 USD.

Oil - Options data

Options data indicates a moderately bullish sentiment with a put/call ratio of 0.63. Key call resistance levels are at 109 USD and 110 USD, while put support is at 105 USD. The max pain level at 105 USD suggests that options may push the price towards this level, despite the current price level. Higher open interest in calls indicates bullish expectations.

Oil - Summary

Analysis of different time intervals suggests a continuation of the downward pressure in the WTI oil market, with key support levels at 69 and 65 USD. Options indicate a moderately bullish sentiment, but with a max pain level at 105 USD, which may affect volatility. The overall bias remains bearish as long as the price stays below 75 USD.

Euro/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

Euro/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

Error generating D1 analysis for EUR/USD

Euro/Dollar - 4H Chart

Euro/Dollar - 4H Chart

Error generating H4 analysis

Euro/Dollar - 1H Chart

Euro/Dollar - 1H Chart

Error generating H1 analysis

Euro/Dollar - 15min Chart

Euro/Dollar - 15min Chart

Error generating M15 analysis

Euro/Dollar - Summary

Error generating summary

Pound/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

Pound/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of GBP/USD, we observe a continuation of the downward trend, but there are signs of a bullish correction. The price is oscillating around the level of 1.3220, which may suggest an attempt to rebound after recent declines. Key support is located around 1.3100, and the nearest resistance is at 1.3350. Technical indicators suggest the possibility of further downward pressure, but a potential rebound cannot be ruled out, especially if the price manages to break the level of 1.3350.

Pound/Dollar - 4H Chart

Pound/Dollar - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart of GBP/USD, we can observe consolidation around the level of 1.3220. Support in the area of 1.3180 remains, while resistance at the level of 1.3280 poses a barrier to further increases. Technical indicators remain neutral, suggesting that the market is waiting for a clearer impulse to break out in one direction.

Pound/Dollar - 1H Chart

Pound/Dollar - 1H Chart

On the 1-hour chart of GBP/USD, there is a slight strengthening, with the price breaking through 1.3220. Support is at 1.3190, and resistance is around 1.3250. Technical indicators suggest the possibility of further increases, as long as the price remains above 1.3220, which could lead to a test of higher resistance levels.

Pound/Dollar - 15-minute chart

Pound/Dollar - 15-minute chart

On the 15-minute chart of GBP/USD, there is a temporary strengthening with a slight increase in volume. The price oscillates around 1.3220, with support at 1.3210 and resistance at 1.3235. Technical indicators suggest a possible short-term rebound, but the lack of a clear direction indicates caution.

Pound/Dollar - Options data

Options data indicates a clearly bearish sentiment with a PUT/CALL ratio of 3.53, suggesting strong downward pressure. The high open interest at $122 as max pain suggests that investors expect further declines. The volume of PUTs exceeds the volume of CALLs, confirming the dominance of bears in the market. Key PUT levels at $122 and $123 may serve as targets for further declines.

Pound/Dollar - Summary

GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure with key support at 1.3100 and resistance at 1.3350. Market sentiment is negative, as confirmed by options data and technical indicators. In the short term, a rebound is possible, but the dominance of bears may lead to further declines. Key levels to watch are 1.3180 as support and 1.3280 as resistance.

Australian Dollar/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

Australian Dollar/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of AUD/USD, a clear downward trend has been visible for several months. The price is approaching the support level around 0.6850. The current downward movement may encounter resistance around 0.6950, which coincides with previous support and resistance levels. Oscillators indicate that the market is oversold, which may suggest the possibility of a short-term upward correction before the downward trend continues.

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 4H Chart

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, consolidation is visible around the level of 0.6900 after a prolonged decline. We are observing an attempt to bounce back, but there are no clear signals of a trend reversal. In the case of continued increases, the nearest resistance is around 0.6950. On the other hand, breaking the support at 0.6880 may open the way for further declines.

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 1H Chart

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows an attempt to bounce off the level of 0.6880, with the price testing resistance at 0.6920. Technical indicators suggest the possibility of a continuation of the upward movement in the short term. It will be crucial to stay above 0.6880, which could support further increases to 0.6950. On the other hand, a break below 0.6880 could restore downward pressure.

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 15min Chart

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 15min Chart

On the 15-minute chart, a dynamic increase is visible, suggesting short-term strength of the bulls. The price is approaching resistance at 0.6920. A breakout of this level could lead to further gains, while staying below may signal a return to consolidation. Support at 0.6900 remains crucial for the bulls.

Australian Dollar/Dollar - Options Data

Options data for FXA indicates a dominance of put options, with a put/call ratio of 3.54, confirming a bearish sentiment. The largest open put positions are at $70, suggesting expectations for further declines. The Max Pain level at $70 indicates a potential equilibrium level, but the high level of open interest in puts may limit AUD/USD gains.

Australian Dollar/Dollar - Summary

Charts suggest a continuation of the bearish trend, although a short-term rebound is possible. Key levels are 0.6880 as support and 0.6950 as resistance. Option sentiment and extreme fear in the market may limit gains. The bias remains bearish, with potential declines below 0.6880.

Dollar/Yen - Daily Chart (D1)

Dollar/Yen - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of USD/JPY, a continuation of the upward trend is visible. The price is above the key support level of 160.00, which suggests further upside potential. Currently, the price is oscillating around 161.80, and the bullish sentiment is supported by rising moving averages. A breakout above the resistance level of 162.50 could open the way for further increases towards 165.00. Meanwhile, the support at 160.00 remains crucial for the bulls.

Dollar/Yen - 4H Chart

Dollar/Yen - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, there is a consolidation in the range of 161.50-162.00. The price oscillates in a narrow range, which may suggest gathering strength before the next move. Technical indicators are neutral, but a slight breakout above 162.00 may confirm the continuation of the upward trend. Support at 161.50 remains crucial for maintaining a positive sentiment.

Dollar/Yen - 1H Chart

Dollar/Yen - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows slight upward pressure, with rates testing the upper boundaries of consolidation. Noticeable short-term rebounds from support at 161.50, which may suggest an attempt to break resistance at 162.00. Oscillators indicate the possibility of further increases, but a break above 162.00 is crucial for confirmation.

Dollar/Yen - 15-minute chart

Dollar/Yen - 15-minute chart

On the 15-minute chart of USD/JPY, a consolidation with a slight bullish bias is visible. The price is testing the level of 161.80, and momentum indicators suggest the possibility of further increases. A break above 162.00 could initiate a rapid upward move, while support at 161.50 remains significant for the short-term trend.

Dollar/Yen - Options data

Options data for the FXY ETF indicates a very bullish sentiment with a low put/call ratio of 0.26. The greatest interest is observed at call levels with a strike of $58, which corresponds to a potential increase in USD/JPY. High open positions at the $58 level may act as a price magnet, while the maximum pain at this level suggests that market participants may aim to keep the price around these levels. Support for puts is weak, which may support further increases.

Dollar/Yen - Summary

Analysis of USD/JPY indicates a bullish sentiment with upside potential above 162.00. Key support is at 161.50, while resistance is at 162.50. A high put/call ratio suggests further increases, especially if the price breaks above 162.00. Investors should monitor option levels for further market direction.

Dollar/Franc - Daily Chart (D1)

Dollar/Franc - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of USD/CHF, a strong upward trend is visible. The recent candles indicate a slight correction after reaching a local peak around 0.8100. Support is located around 0.8050, and further resistance is around 0.8150. Technical indicators remain positive, suggesting the possibility of a continuation of the upward trend, provided that the level of 0.8050 is maintained.

Dollar/Franc - 4H Chart

Dollar/Franc - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart of USD/CHF, consolidation is noticeable between the levels of 0.8060 and 0.8100. The correction after the recent increases is clear, and support at the level of 0.8060 is being tested. A break of this level may open the way for further declines towards 0.8030. A move above 0.8100 may confirm the continuation of the increases.

Dollar/Franc - 1H Chart

Dollar/Franc - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows a local downtrend with resistance at the level of 0.8090. The price is testing support around 0.8070. A break of this support may lead to further declines towards 0.8050. The indicators are neutral, suggesting the possibility of further consolidation or downward movements.

Dollar/Franc - 15min Chart

Dollar/Franc - 15min Chart

On the 15-minute chart of USD/CHF, selling pressure is visible with resistance at the level of 0.8085. The price is falling towards support at the level of 0.8070. A break of this level could lead to further declines. The movements are fast and volatile, suggesting increased volatility at this interval.

Dollar/Franc - Options data

Options data indicates a very strong bullish sentiment with a low put/call ratio of 0.08. The largest open Call positions are at levels of $108 (+0.9%) and $111 (+3.7%), suggesting that investors expect further increases in USD/CHF. The Max Pain level at $108 suggests that the price may aim for this level in the short term, which aligns with the overall bullish sentiment.

Dollar/Franc - Summary

The overall bias is bullish for USD/CHF, with key support at 0.8050 and resistance at 0.8100. Options data supports the bullish sentiment, with a potential move towards $108. In the short term, further consolidation or correction is possible, but the long-term trend remains bullish.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart, the USD/CAD pair shows a strong upward trend that has encountered resistance around 1.4200. These increases have been supported by positive economic data from the USA, such as the final GDP results and the PCE price index. The current consolidation suggests a possible correction, but the overall trend remains bullish. Key supports can be located around 1.4000, where previous resistances may act as new supports. A breakout above 1.4200 could open the way for further gains.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 4H Chart

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, there is consolidation after dynamic increases. The price oscillates around 1.4170, suggesting a potential weakening of the upward momentum. The area of 1.4150 acts as local support. Staying above this level may suggest a continuation of the upward trend. However, breaking the support around 1.4100 could lead to a deeper correction. Key resistance is at the level of 1.4200.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 1H Chart

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 1H Chart

On the hourly chart, there is visible downward pressure with local support at the level of 1.4150. Current levels indicate the possibility of short-term consolidation. A break below 1.4150 may lead to further declines, while a break above 1.4200 could confirm a further bullish impulse. Technical indicators suggest potential exhaustion of the bullish momentum, which may result in a correction.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 15min Chart

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 15min Chart

The 15-minute chart shows slight downward pressure with the possibility of testing support at the level of 1.4160. In the short time frame, consolidation is possible. Key resistance is around 1.4185, and breaking it could lead to short-term gains. Technical indicators show oversold conditions, which may suggest a temporary rebound.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - Options Data

Analysis of options for FXC shows a very bullish sentiment with high open interest at the $81 strike, which may suggest expectations for further increases in USD/CAD. The low put/call ratio of 0.34 indicates an advantage for call options, which aligns with the prevailing upward trend in the currency market. Key support levels for put options are at the $63 strike, indicating that investors do not anticipate significant declines below current levels.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - Summary

USD/CAD is in a strong uptrend with consolidation around 1.4170. Key levels are support at 1.4150 and resistance at 1.4200. Options indicate a bullish sentiment, which supports the continuation of the uptrend. In the short term, testing of support is possible, but the overall bias remains bullish.

Frequently Asked Questions

How to analyze trading instruments effectively?
Effective analysis combines technical analysis (charts, patterns, indicators) with fundamental analysis (economic data, news events). Understanding both short-term price action and long-term trends is essential.
How do Fed decisions impact markets?
Fed rate decisions affect all asset classes. Higher rates strengthen USD, pressure gold prices, and often weigh on stocks. The tone of Fed communication is often more important than the decision itself.

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