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Sunday Discoveries: We Open a Week Full of Surprises!

Get ready for exciting events and new opportunities from April 20 to April 24, 2026!

Kacper MrukApril 19, 2026Updated: April 19, 20261 min read
Sunday Discoveries: We Open a Week Full of Surprises!

A Fascinating Week Ahead in Financial Markets

We have a fascinating week ahead in the financial markets, filled with key economic data and events that could trigger significant movements in the markets. From April 20 to April 24, 2026, investors will be eagerly watching a series of inflation reports, sales data, and PMI indicators that may provide important context ...

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The upcoming week - what awaits us

We have an exciting week ahead in the financial markets, filled with key economic data and events that could trigger significant movements. From April 20 to April 24, 2026, investors will be eagerly watching a series of inflation reports, sales data, and PMI indicators that may provide important context regarding the state of the global economy.

The week will start with inflation data from Canada, which will be released on Monday at 14:30 (Warsaw time). The projected increase in the CPI m/m to 1.1% from the previous level of 0.5% suggests a pick-up in inflation in Canada, which could influence expectations regarding the monetary policy of the Bank of Canada. At the same time, the data on Trimmed CPI and Median CPI may confirm or negate this trend, indicating stabilization or further increases in price pressures. Markets will closely monitor these reports to assess whether the Bank of Canada will need to revise its strategy.

Tuesday will bring equally important data, starting with the New Zealand CPI q/q, which is projected at 0.8%. An increase in inflation in New Zealand may affect expectations regarding future interest rate moves by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Also significant will be the data from the United Kingdom regarding the change in the number of jobless claims, which may provide insight into the labor market conditions in that country. An increase in jobless claims, although lower than previously, still indicates some tensions in the labor market.

However, it is the data from the United States, which will be released at 14:30 (Warsaw time), that could generate the most excitement. The projected increase in Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales m/m to 1.3% and 1.4%, respectively, suggests a robust rebound in consumption in the U.S., which could have a positive impact on the stock market. In the context of recent inflation and production data that were below expectations, such an increase in retail sales may signal that the U.S. economy still has solid fundamentals. Additionally, on that day, a speech by Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh is scheduled, which may provide further clues regarding the future monetary policy of the Fed, especially in light of the upcoming FOMC meeting.

Wednesday will focus on the United Kingdom, where at 08:00 (Warsaw time) the y/y CPI index will be published. Expectations at 3.3% suggest rising inflation, which may put pressure on the Bank of England to continue raising interest rates. Given the recent better-than-expected GDP data, markets will closely watch these figures for signals regarding the future path of monetary policy in the UK.

Thursday will bring another batch of data from Europe, with a focus on Germany and the United Kingdom. German PMI indicators for manufacturing and services may provide clues regarding the state of the largest economy in the eurozone. Forecasts indicate some weakening, which may suggest difficulties in maintaining growth momentum. For the UK, PMI indicators may confirm or deny the inflation trends that were evident in earlier data.

The week will conclude on Friday with retail sales data from the United Kingdom. A positive forecast of 0.1% following a previous decline of 0.4% may suggest stabilization in consumption, which would be a positive signal for the British economy.

Against this backdrop, market sentiment, measured by the Fear & Greed Index, shows increasing optimism. The current level of 68/100 indicates a prevailing greed, suggesting that investors are willing to take on greater risks. Rising sentiment may support the stock markets; however, investors should exercise caution, as excessive confidence can lead to unforeseen corrections.

In summary, the upcoming week promises to be an exceptionally exciting period in the financial markets, full of potential surprises and investment opportunities. Investors will need to closely monitor incoming data and statements from key decision-makers that may provide new insights regarding future directions of monetary policy and the state of the global economy.

Day-by-day overview

Monday (2026-04-20)

On Monday, investors' attention will focus on inflation data from Canada, which will be released at 14:30 (Warsaw time). The CPI m/m (Consumer Price Index) is forecasted to be at 1.1%, indicating a significant increase compared to the previous result of 0.5%. This may suggest rising inflationary pressure in the Canadian economy, which could influence expectations regarding future decisions by the Bank of Canada on interest rates. Meanwhile, Trimmed CPI y/y and Median CPI y/y are forecasted to be at 2.3% and 2.4% respectively, with minor changes compared to previous data. If the actual data is higher than forecasts, we can expect a strengthening of the CAD, while lower results may weaken the Canadian dollar.

Tuesday (2026-04-21)

Tuesday brings several key economic reports. At 00:45 (Warsaw time), New Zealand will release its CPI q/q, with a forecast increase from 0.6% to 0.8%. This increase may indicate an improvement in New Zealand's economic condition, which could in turn affect the monetary decisions of its central bank.

At 08:00 (Warsaw time), data from the United Kingdom regarding the change in the number of claims for unemployment benefits (Claimant Count Change) will be released, forecasted at 21.4K, indicating a decrease from the previous 24.7K. This decrease would be a positive signal for the UK labor market, which could support the British pound.

At 14:30 (Warsaw time), data on retail sales will be released in the United States. Both Core Retail Sales m/m and Retail Sales m/m have forecasts of significant increases – to 1.3% and 1.4% respectively. Such results would be evidence of the strength of the American economy and could strengthen the dollar. At the same time, a hearing for the newly appointed Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh will take place, which may provide insights into future US monetary policy.

Wednesday (2026-04-22)

On Wednesday at 08:00 (Warsaw time), the United Kingdom will publish data on CPI y/y inflation. The forecasted increase from 3.0% to 3.3% indicates further inflationary pressure in the UK economy. Higher inflation may raise expectations for interest rate hikes by the Bank of England, which could support the pound. However, if the data turns out to be lower than forecasts, we may see a weakening of the British currency.

Thursday (2026-04-23)

Thursday will be a key day for the eurozone and the United Kingdom, due to the publication of preliminary PMI data. At 09:30 (Warsaw time), Germany will release data on Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI. Forecasted declines to levels of 51.3 and 50.4 respectively may signal a slowdown in the German economy, which could weaken the euro.

At 10:30 (Warsaw time), the United Kingdom will publish its PMI data for the services and manufacturing sectors. Forecasts indicate declines to levels of 50.0 and 50.2, suggesting the possibility of stagnation in these sectors. Such data may negatively impact the pound, especially if they turn out worse than expected.

Friday (2026-04-24)

Friday will bring retail sales data from the United Kingdom at 08:00 (Warsaw time). A slight increase from -0.4% to 0.1% is forecasted, suggesting some improvement after earlier weak results. Higher data may support the pound, but weaker results could weaken the British currency, especially in the context of other publications from this week.

In summary, the upcoming week is rich in key economic publications that could significantly impact market movements. Investors should pay particular attention to inflation and retail sales data, which may provide new insights into the direction of monetary policy from major central banks.

Key topics to watch

In the upcoming week, key macroeconomic data will dominate the financial markets, which may significantly influence investor sentiment and the direction of price movements in the main markets. Special attention will be directed towards inflation data and the condition of the labor market, which could potentially be a "game changer" for current economic trends.

Starting with Monday's publications from Canada, we focus on the CPI indicators. The projected increase in CPI m/m from 0.5% to 1.1% suggests increasing inflationary pressure, which may heighten expectations regarding the future actions of the Bank of Canada in terms of monetary policy. The rise in the Median CPI y/y from 2.3% to 2.4% also indicates a possible continuation of the upward trend in consumer prices, which could influence market expectations regarding interest rate hikes.

On Tuesday, investor attention will be drawn to data from New Zealand, where a q/q CPI increase from 0.6% to 0.8% is expected. Such an increase may signal that inflation in New Zealand remains under control, which could in turn affect the stabilization of the NZD exchange rate. Additionally, data on the change in the number of unemployment benefit claims in the UK (forecast: 21.4K) may provide insights into the state of the labor market, which is crucial for the Bank of England's future decisions.

In the United States, retail sales data could have a significant impact on the markets. The projected increase in Core Retail Sales m/m to 1.3% and Retail Sales m/m to 1.4% suggests that consumption remains strong, which may strengthen the US dollar. Furthermore, the hearing of Warsh, nominated for the position of Fed chair, will be closely monitored, as his comments could influence expectations regarding the Fed's future monetary policy, particularly in the context of current forecasts indicating stability in interest rates in the US.

Wednesday will bring inflation data from the UK, where a y/y CPI increase from 3.0% to 3.3% is expected. Such data may confirm inflationary pressure in the British economy, which in turn could increase pressure on the Bank of England to act regarding interest rates.

Thursday will be dominated by preliminary PMI data from Germany and the UK. Projected declines in the German manufacturing and services sectors may suggest a cooling in the key eurozone economy, which could in turn affect the euro. Similarly, projected declines in PMI in the UK may suggest a weakening of economic activity, which will be significant in the context of future monetary policy decisions.

At the end of the week, on Friday, attention will turn to retail sales data from the UK. The projected increase from -0.4% to 0.1% may suggest some stabilization in consumption, but it still remains under pressure.

Markets will also closely monitor overall sentiment, which has recently shown an upward trend, suggesting a more optimistic approach from investors. In the context of all these events, the upcoming week may bring significant directional changes, especially if macroeconomic data deviates from forecasts.

How to prepare

Preparing for the upcoming week in the financial markets requires meticulous planning and risk management. Here are some practical tips that will help you effectively organize your actions and avoid potential pitfalls.

The first step in planning the week is to review the economic calendar. It is crucial to identify the days when important macroeconomic events are scheduled, such as the release of economic data, central bank meetings, or speeches by key political decision-makers. On such days, markets may exhibit increased volatility, which creates both opportunities and threats. Therefore, it is important to stay updated with the schedule and prepare for possible scenarios.

Monday is usually a day when markets react to weekend events and also prepare for upcoming releases. It is worth dedicating this day to analyzing the market situation and adjusting your investment strategy. Wednesday and Thursday are often days when key macroeconomic reports are published, which can significantly impact the markets. Friday, on the other hand, although often quite calm, can surprise investors with sudden moves related to the week's closure and profit-taking.

Risk management is an inseparable element of effective investing. First and foremost, you should define acceptable risk levels for each trade and for your entire investment portfolio. Preparing a risk management plan also includes setting stop-loss and take-profit points, which will help minimize losses and secure profits.

It is also advisable to create a checklist of tasks to be completed before the start of each trading day. This list should include, among other things, a review of the latest market news, technical chart analysis, updates on support and resistance levels, and any adjustments to open positions. Regularly monitoring and updating this list allows for better preparation for dynamic changes in the market.

Do not forget about the psychology of investing. Mental preparation is key to making rational decisions. Even the best-prepared plan may not yield the expected results if you cannot maintain calmness and objectivity in the face of uncertainty and stress. Regular breaks throughout the day, relaxation techniques, and setting realistic investment goals can help maintain emotional balance.

In summary, effective preparation for the week in the financial markets requires an understanding of the macroeconomic calendar, strategic planning, and risk management. Regularly reviewing the task checklist and taking care of the psychology of investing are essential elements in the arsenal of every conscious investor. This way, you will be better prepared for the challenges that each new week in the financial markets brings.

Summary - the week ahead

The upcoming week in the financial markets promises to be extremely interesting, with several key events that could trigger significant movements in the stock exchanges. Investors should pay particular attention to the upcoming financial reports from several large corporations, which may provide important insights into the condition of various sectors of the economy. It is also worth monitoring any updates regarding monetary and economic policy that could impact global markets.

Monday will start with the publication of macroeconomic data that may give the first signals regarding the state of the economy at the beginning of the quarter. Analysts expect this could be a key moment that helps shape investor sentiment for the rest of the week. In particular, data related to inflation may attract attention, as it will influence expectations regarding further actions by central banks.

On Wednesday, investors' eyes will be on decisions regarding interest rates, which could affect the valuations of currencies and bonds. These decisions are always among the most anticipated events in the markets, as they have a direct impact on the cost of capital and the investment decisions made by companies and consumers.

In the second half of the week, key will be the financial reports from several tech giants, which could influence the mood on the stock exchanges. The financial results of these companies are often seen as a barometer of the condition of the entire technology sector, so their publication could trigger significant price movements in this market segment. Investors will analyze not only the numbers themselves but also the forecasts and comments from management regarding the future.

At the end of the week, it is worth paying attention to international meetings concerning economic cooperation, which may bring significant information regarding trade policy. Any changes in this area could have far-reaching effects on global supply chains and international trade, which in turn could impact commodity and currency markets.

In summary, the upcoming week is a time when investors should remain vigilant and ready for quick reactions. Key macroeconomic data, interest rate decisions, and financial reports from large corporations will be the main factors shaping market sentiment. It is also important to monitor any new information from the economic policy front that could trigger unexpected movements in the markets. Knowledge and quick response to these events could be the key to investment success in the coming days.

Frequently Asked Questions

How to analyze trading instruments effectively?
Effective analysis combines technical analysis (charts, patterns, indicators) with fundamental analysis (economic data, news events). Understanding both short-term price action and long-term trends is essential.
How does inflation affect trading?
Higher inflation typically leads to rate hike expectations, strengthening the currency. However, persistent inflation can eventually weaken the economy and currency. Gold often serves as an inflation hedge.

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