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What Will July 20-24, 2026 Bring Us?

Kacper MrukJuly 19, 2026Updated: July 19, 20261 min read

The upcoming week, starting on July 20, 2026, promises to be a key moment for global financial markets, with a series of significant economic publications and events that may influence investor decisions. As the global economy continues to grapple with uncertainties, market participants will closely monitor the upcoming...

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Upcoming week - what awaits us

The upcoming week, starting on July 20, 2026, promises to be a key moment for global financial markets, with a series of significant economic publications and events that may influence investors' decisions. As the global economy continues to grapple with uncertainties, market participants will closely monitor the upcoming data, trying to read signals regarding the future actions of central banks and the overall economic direction.

The week begins with data from Canada, where inflation indicators will be released. On Monday at 12:30 (Warsaw time), the Median CPI y/y and Trimmed CPI y/y will be published, forecasted at 2.1% and 2.0% respectively, indicating stabilization compared to previous readings. However, greater attention will be drawn to the monthly CPI, for which a decline of 0.2% is expected compared to a rise of 1.0% from the previous month. Such a result may indicate a potential easing of inflationary pressures, which could influence the future decisions of the Bank of Canada regarding monetary policy.

Later that same day, in the evening, investors' attention will shift to New Zealand, where a rise in the quarterly CPI to 1.5% from the previous level of 0.9% is expected. If the forecast is confirmed, it could affirm the growing inflationary pressure in the region, which may have further implications for the country's monetary policy.

The next day, Tuesday, will bring data regarding the change in the number of unemployment claims in the United Kingdom. The forecasted number of 28.3 thousand compared to the previous 31.2 thousand may suggest some stabilization in the labor market, which in turn could impact expectations regarding the actions of the Bank of England.

On Wednesday, investors will focus on the annual CPI inflation data in the United Kingdom, where the forecast is 2.7% compared to the previous 2.8%. Although a slight decrease in inflation is anticipated, this data will be crucial for understanding how the Bank of England may respond to changing economic conditions, especially in light of recent statements from central bank officials.

Thursday will prove to be an eventful day, especially for investors tracking the euro and the Australian dollar. Australia will publish data on the unemployment rate and employment change, where no changes in the unemployment rate at 4.4% are expected, but a significant slowdown in the pace of employment growth to 15.2 thousand from 40.3 thousand is anticipated. If these forecasts are confirmed, they may influence expectations regarding the monetary policy of the RBA.

In Europe, at 12:15 (Warsaw time), we will learn the decision of the European Central Bank regarding the main refinancing rate, where the current level of 2.40% is expected to be maintained. However, the ECB press conference scheduled for 12:45 (Warsaw time) may provide the most insights into the bank's future actions, especially in the context of the current economic challenges in the eurozone.

At the same time, global market sentiment remains cautious, as reflected in the current level of the Fear & Greed Index at 37/100, indicating prevailing fear among investors. A noticeable drop of 9 points over the past month underscores the growing uncertainty and caution in the markets. Investors will thus be looking for clear signals both in macroeconomic data and central bank commentary to better understand the directions in which the markets may head.

In summary, the upcoming week offers many critical data points and events that could significantly impact financial markets. Investors should be prepared for potential volatility and closely monitor developments to appropriately adjust their investment strategies. In the context of rising concerns and uncertainties, every new piece of data will be crucial for shaping expectations regarding future monetary and economic policy.

Day-by-day overview

Before us is a week full of key macroeconomic data that could significantly impact market sentiment and investment decisions. Let's take a look at what awaits us in the coming days, starting with Monday.

Monday (2026-07-20)

On Monday, investors' attention will focus on inflation data from Canada. At 12:30 (Warsaw time), the Median CPI y/y and Trimmed CPI y/y indicators will be published, both forecasted at 2.1% and 2.0% respectively, indicating no change from the previous reading. The stability of these indicators may suggest that the Bank of Canada will not be forced to make drastic changes in monetary policy. However, the m/m CPI data, forecasted at -0.2% compared to the previous level of 1.0%, could be interesting. Such a decrease might signal that inflationary pressure at the retail margins is decreasing, which could influence the Bank of Canada's decisions in the future.

In the evening at 22:45 (Warsaw time), we will learn the q/q CPI data from New Zealand. Here, the forecast is 1.5%, which is a significant increase compared to the previous reading of 0.9%. Such a result could indicate rising inflationary pressures, which may affect future decisions of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand regarding interest rates.

Tuesday (2026-07-21)

Tuesday will begin with the publication of labor market data from the United Kingdom at 06:00 (Warsaw time). A key indicator will be the change in the number of people claiming unemployment benefits (Claimant Count Change), with a forecast of 28.3 thousand, slightly lower than the previous figure (31.2 thousand). A decrease in new benefit claims may suggest a gradual improvement in the labor market, which would be a positive signal for the British economy and could strengthen the pound.

Wednesday (2026-07-22)

On Wednesday, at 06:00 (Warsaw time), inflation data from the United Kingdom - CPI y/y - will be published. The forecast is 2.7%, which represents a slight decrease compared to the previous reading of 2.8%. A decrease in inflation may be interpreted as a signal that the Bank of England will not need to raise interest rates in the near future, which could influence market expectations regarding future monetary policy.

Thursday (2026-07-23)

Thursday will bring important data from Australia and the eurozone. At 01:30 (Warsaw time), we will learn the unemployment rate in Australia, where the forecast is 4.4%, consistent with the previous reading. Also at the same time, employment change data will be published, with a forecast of 15.2 thousand, significantly lower than the previous 40.3 thousand. A decline in employment may weaken the Australian dollar, suggesting that the labor market is not developing as dynamically as previously expected.

At 12:15 (Warsaw time), investors' attention will shift to Europe, where the European Central Bank will announce its decision on the refinancing rate, which is expected to remain at 2.40%. No changes in interest rates indicate a continuation of the current monetary policy, but the accompanying statement regarding monetary policy and the ECB press conference at 12:45 (Warsaw time) will also be crucial. Investors will be paying attention to any hints regarding the central bank's future actions, especially in the context of ongoing economic uncertainty in Europe.

In summary, the upcoming week offers a wealth of data that could impact global financial markets. Investors should pay particular attention to inflation and labor market data, which will be key for assessing the future directions of monetary policy from major central banks.

Key topics to watch.

In the upcoming week, key roles will be played by inflation and labor market data from several major global economies, which could significantly influence investor sentiment and central bank decisions. In particular, attention will focus on Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and Australia, where important economic indicators will be published.

On Monday, data from Canada regarding inflation (Median CPI and Trimmed CPI) remain stable at 2.1% and 2.0% year-on-year, which is in line with forecasts. However, a significant element will be the m/m CPI, which is expected to show a decrease of 0.2% compared to the previous increase of 1.0%. Such a result may suggest that inflationary pressures in Canada are beginning to ease, which could influence future decisions by the Bank of Canada regarding monetary policy. It is worth noting that recent data from the BOC press conference and monetary policy report did not bring surprises, leaving rates unchanged, which may support expectations for stability in policy in the near term.

In the evening of the same day, New Zealand will publish data on q/q CPI, where an increase to 1.5% from the previous level of 0.9% is forecasted. Such a result could suggest increased inflationary pressure, which could influence future interest rate decisions by the RBNZ. Previous meetings of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand did not suggest changes in policy, but rising inflation could prompt decision-makers to rethink their strategy.

Tuesday will bring data from the United Kingdom regarding the change in the number of people claiming benefits (Claimant Count Change), with a forecast of 28.3 thousand compared to the previous 31.2 thousand. A decrease in benefit claims may indicate an improvement in the labor market, which in turn could affect expectations regarding inflation and the monetary policy of the Bank of England, especially in the context of earlier statements by Governor Bailey.

On Wednesday, the United Kingdom will publish the annual CPI rate, where a slight decrease to 2.7% from 2.8% is expected. Such a result could be interpreted as a signal of inflation stabilization, which may influence further decisions by the Bank of England regarding interest rates, especially in the context of recent GDP growth data, which were slightly better than expected.

Thursday, in turn, will bring important data from Australia, where stabilization of the unemployment rate at 4.4% is forecasted, but with lower employment growth (15.2 thousand compared to 40.3 thousand). Such a result could suggest some slowdown in the labor market, which could influence monetary policy decisions by the Reserve Bank of Australia.

On the same day, attention will turn to Europe, where the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce decisions regarding interest rates and publish a statement on monetary policy. Although forecasts suggest no changes in the main refinancing rate (2.40%), the ECB press conference may provide insights into the bank's future actions in light of changing economic conditions.

In summary, the upcoming week is rich in key data that could have a significant impact on global financial markets. Investors will closely monitor inflation indicators and labor market data to better understand the future direction of monetary policy of major central banks. In the context of growing market fears, as reflected in the declining Fear & Greed Index, these publications may become significant factors influencing investment decisions and market direction.

How to prepare

Preparing for the upcoming week in the financial markets is crucial for every investor, regardless of their level of experience. Planning, risk management, and creating a checklist are integral elements of an effective investment strategy.

Planning the Week

The first step in preparation is to plan the week in detail. Before the new week begins, it's worth spending a few moments analyzing the economic calendar. Events such as the publication of macroeconomic data, central bank meetings, or financial reports from key companies can significantly impact the markets. It is important to pay special attention to the days when significant publications are scheduled, such as employment data, inflation figures, or interest rate decisions. Knowing which days may bring greater volatility allows for better preparation for potential market movements.

Risk Management

Risk management is the foundation of any investment strategy. Whether an investor is more inclined to take risks or prefers a conservative approach, proper risk management helps minimize potential losses. Before the week starts, it is advisable to set stop-loss levels for your positions and define how much capital you are willing to risk in the event of unfavorable market movements. Proper risk management helps keep emotions in check and allows for decisions based on analysis rather than emotions.

Checklist

Creating a checklist is a practical tool that helps organize actions and ensures that no important element is overlooked. Here are a few points worth including on such a list:

  1. Portfolio Review: Check which positions require attention and whether adjustments are needed in light of upcoming events.

  2. Data Update: Ensure that all market data you are using is up to date. Sometimes delays in data can lead to erroneous investment decisions.

  3. Technical Analysis: Analyze key support and resistance levels for the instruments you are interested in. Pay attention to technical formations that may suggest potential price movements.

  4. Entry and Exit Strategy: Define specific rules regarding entry and exit points for trades. This helps avoid making decisions under the influence of momentary emotions.

  5. News Monitoring: Keep track of current political and economic events that may affect the markets. Sometimes unexpected news can lead to sharp price changes.

  6. Self-Discipline and Rest: Remember that rest and maintaining a balance between work and personal life are equally important. Regular breaks and attention to mental health help in making more rational decisions.

In summary, proper preparation for the week in the financial markets requires both planning and discipline. A thoughtful approach to risk management and a meticulously maintained checklist allow for more informed investment decisions, increasing the chances of success.

Summary - the week ahead

The upcoming week in the financial markets promises to be dynamic, and investors should prepare for several key events that may influence market direction. Both macroeconomic data and the financial results of certain companies will be in the spotlight.

At the beginning of the week, investors will analyze the latest inflation data. The publication of CPI and PPI indicators is expected, which may provide clues about future decisions by central banks regarding monetary policy. High inflation may prompt banks to continue raising interest rates, which in turn could affect the valuations of stocks and bonds. Therefore, these data will be closely examined by market participants.

Also in the first part of the week, markets will track the publication of PMI indicators for industry and services. This data will provide information about the state of the economy in key sectors, which may influence investor sentiment. Strong results may indicate stability and economic growth, which is a positive signal for the stock markets.

Wednesday will be a day to pay attention to the next central bank meeting. Although no significant changes in policy are expected, any signals regarding future actions may impact the currency and bond markets. Investors will be particularly interested in comments regarding economic and inflationary prospects.

In the second half of the week, attention will shift to the labor market, where employment data will be published. A strong labor market could support consumption and further economic growth, which would be a positive signal for the stock markets. On the other hand, too rapid an increase in employment may raise concerns about inflationary pressure.

The end of the week will also bring financial results from several large companies, which may affect the valuations of the sectors in which these firms operate. Reports from the technology sector will be particularly interesting, as it has been under pressure for some time due to rising interest rates and changing consumer preferences.

In summary, the upcoming week will provide investors with a wealth of data and events that may influence their decisions. Key will be inflation and macroeconomic data that could shape expectations regarding future actions by central banks. Investors should be prepared for volatility and respond to new information that may impact their investment portfolios. A motivating factor for the new week may be the fact that despite challenges, dynamic markets offer many opportunities for profit, and a well-prepared investor can effectively leverage changing market conditions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How to analyze trading instruments effectively?
Effective analysis combines technical analysis (charts, patterns, indicators) with fundamental analysis (economic data, news events). Understanding both short-term price action and long-term trends is essential.

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