AnalysisNATGAS

The syndrome of 'this time it will be different'

How repeating mistakes drains your wallet

Kacper MrukJune 28, 2026Updated: June 28, 20261 min read

Do you feel that each subsequent transaction is a new opportunity? Or maybe you end the day again with a lower account balance? It's not bad luck, it's repeating the same mistakes.

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How much does it cost you?

Imagine that you start the week with the belief that this strategy will definitely work. The market looks promising, so you invest 5,000 PLN. On the first day, you lose 1,200 PLN, but you think it's just temporary. The next day, you lose another 1,500 PLN, but you still don't give up. After a few days, the balance closes at minus 4,000 PLN. This is not the first time you have incurred such losses in a row, but you still hope that 'this time it will be different.' Such an attitude costs you not only money but also frustration and lost time that you could have dedicated to learning and analysis.

What is happening in the head

Many traders from experience know that in their heads, a voice often says: 'this time it will be different.' This is a mechanism of escaping responsibility for previous decisions. The mind creates an illusion that the next attempt will be successful, even though you haven't changed anything in your approach. The anchoring effect is at play here – you rely on beliefs from the past that were incorrect.

Why isn't it working?

Logically speaking, if you repeat the same actions, you will not change the outcome. Traders learn that it is crucial to draw conclusions from past failures. Repeating the same strategies without verifying their effectiveness is like pouring water into a leaky bucket – losses are inevitable. Without analysis and adaptation, you will not build a solid foundation for making better decisions.

A principle that will help

Time for a thoughtful change. Ask yourself simple questions: What exactly went wrong? Could I have predicted it? How can I fix it? Then apply the principle of small steps: introduce one small change in your strategy and observe the effects. Don't put everything on one card. For example, start by reducing the investment amount to 500 PLN per transaction and regularly document the results and decisions. This method allows you to continuously monitor progress and adapt to changing conditions.

🎯 Habit to implement

At the beginning of the week, define one small change in the strategy that you will implement and observe its effects. Record the results and conclusions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How to analyze trading instruments effectively?
Effective analysis combines technical analysis (charts, patterns, indicators) with fundamental analysis (economic data, news events). Understanding both short-term price action and long-term trends is essential.

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