MacroNATGAS

USD: Retail Sales m/m

USD | medium

Kacper MrukJuly 16, 2026Updated: July 12, 20261 min read
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The retail sales m/m report measures changes in the sales of goods and services in the retail sector. It is an important indicator of the economy's health, as consumer spending constitutes a large part of GDP. An increase in retail sales may suggest growing consumer purchasing power. **Watchlist:**...

IndicatorValue
Forecast0.3%
Previous0.9%

The retail sales m/m report measures changes in the sales of goods and services in the retail sector. It is an important indicator of the economy's health, as consumer spending constitutes a large part of GDP. An increase in retail sales may suggest growing consumer purchasing power.

Watchlist: DXY reaction, UST yields, volatility in the commodities market

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Market Impact

The current month-over-month retail sales figure has not yet been published; however, the forecast stands at 0.3%, significantly lower than the previous result of 0.9%. If the data aligns with the forecast or comes in lower, it may indicate a weakening of consumer spending, which would negatively impact market sentiment. In such a scenario, one could expect a depreciation of the US dollar and declines in stock indices. It is important to monitor market reactions, particularly in the context of volatility and DXY behavior, to better understand the further direction of the markets.

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Kacper Mruk

About the author

Kacper Mruk

XAUUSD & ETHUSD Trader | Macro + options data | Think, don't follow

Creator of Take Profit Trader's App. Specializes in XAUUSD and ETHUSD, combining macro analysis with options data. Actively trading since 2020.

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