Instruments

Bitcoin Trading Guide

⚡ Read this before you open your next trade

Bitcoin (BTC) has evolved from a niche digital currency to a major financial asset. With its unique market dynamics, 24/7 trading, and high volatility, Bitcoin offers significant opportunities for traders who understand its behavior.

Kacper MrukKacper Mruk2 min readUpdated: March 10, 2026

Bitcoin Market Cycles

Bitcoin follows roughly 4-year cycles tied to halving events. Historically: accumulation phase → early bull market → euphoria → bear market → accumulation. Halving reduces new BTC supply by 50%, historically triggering bull runs within 12-18 months.

What Moves Bitcoin Price

Key BTC price drivers: institutional adoption (ETF flows), regulatory news, macro environment (risk-on/risk-off), halving cycles, on-chain metrics (exchange flows, whale activity), and correlation with tech stocks.

Bitcoin Technical Analysis

Bitcoin respects technical analysis well due to retail-dominated trading. Key levels: psychological round numbers ($50k, $100k), previous ATH, 200-week MA (historically strong support), and on-chain realized price levels.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is Bitcoin correlated with stocks?

Bitcoin has shown increasing correlation with tech stocks (NASDAQ) since institutional adoption grew. During risk-off events, BTC often sells off with equities. However, this correlation is not constant and breaks down during crypto-specific events.

What is Bitcoin halving?

Bitcoin halving occurs every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), cutting the block reward in half. This reduces new BTC supply and has historically preceded major bull markets. The 2024 halving reduced rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC.

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Kacper Mruk

About the author

Kacper Mruk

XAUUSD & ETHUSD Trader | Macro + options data | Think, don't follow

Creator of Take Profit Trader's App. Specializes in XAUUSD and ETHUSD, combining macro analysis with options data. He teaches not how to trade, but how to think in the market. Actively trading since 2020.

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