Daily Market Overview - June 12, 2026

This Friday is a day that investors are eagerly awaiting due to the release of the UK GDP growth data at 6:00 (Warsaw time). The forecast for m/m GDP is -0.1%, a decline from the previous month when growth was 0.3%. In the context of concerns about an economic slowdown, this result will be closely analyzed and could significantly impact the British pound exchange rate.

This week, the markets were influenced by several key events. On Wednesday, the US CPI inflation data met expectations, which somewhat eased sentiment, but yesterday's interest rate hike in the eurozone kept tensions high. The Fear & Greed Index indicates growing concerns, currently at a level of 30, signaling an increase in fear among investors. Today's data from the UK could further highlight these sentiments, especially if the result is worse than forecasts.

Traders should pay special attention to the publication at 6:00 (Warsaw time), as an unexpected GDP result could trigger sharp movements in the markets. It is also important to monitor further reactions to the central bank decisions from this week. Today's data could be crucial for investment decisions, especially in the context of the upcoming FOMC meeting, which may bring further changes in monetary policy.

The current sentiment in the markets is dominated by caution and growing fear, as reflected in the declining Fear & Greed index. Investors are becoming increasingly uncertain about the future moves of central banks, especially after the inflation data from the US and the ECB's decision to raise interest rates. The observed decline in sentiment suggests that the markets are highly sensitive to any new information that could impact expectations regarding future monetary policy actions.