AnalysisNATGAS

Markets under the influence of uncertainty related to the agreement with Iran.

The Fed maintains stable interest rates while investors monitor the developments in the Middle East.

Kacper MrukMay 24, 2026Updated: May 24, 20261 min read

Today, the key topic in the markets was the potential cancellation of the agreement with Iran, which affected investor sentiment. At the same time, expectations regarding future decisions of the Federal Reserve remain stable.

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Fed and interest rates

The Federal Reserve currently maintains interest rates in the range of 3.50-3.75%. Market expectations for the upcoming FOMC meeting, which will take place on June 17, indicate that rates will remain at the same level with a probability of 96%. Only 4% of the market expects a hike to the range of 3.75-4.00%, which indicates the stability and predictability of the Fed's monetary policy in the near future. Stable interest rates are crucial for investors seeking safety in the face of global uncertainties.

Uncertainty surrounding the agreement with Iran

According to the Iranian agency Tasnim, there is a risk of canceling the current agreement with Iran, which could have a significant impact on financial markets and oil prices. This agreement is crucial for the global energy market, and its cancellation could lead to increased geopolitical tensions and affect oil supply, which in turn could result in rising prices. Such a prospect introduces additional uncertainty in markets that are already grappling with other economic and political challenges. Investors will closely monitor further reports on this matter, as the development of the situation may influence investment decisions in the near future.

Summary

On the markets, uncertainty is rising regarding the potential cancellation of the agreement with Iran, which may affect oil prices and global geopolitical tensions. Investors should pay attention to the developments in this area, as well as the upcoming macroeconomic data that may influence future Fed decisions. Tomorrow, it is worth monitoring any new information regarding the agreement with Iran and any signals that may suggest changes in monetary policy.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Effective analysis combines technical analysis (charts, patterns, indicators) with fundamental analysis (economic data, news events). Understanding both short-term price action and long-term trends is essential.
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Fed rate decisions affect all asset classes. Higher rates strengthen USD, pressure gold prices, and often weigh on stocks. The tone of Fed communication is often more important than the decision itself.

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