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Morning market review - Friday, July 3, 2026

Technical analyses of 12 instruments with options data

Kacper MrukJuly 3, 2026Updated: July 3, 20261 min read

Morning Market Overview

The morning market overview indicates a prevailing atmosphere of fear, as reflected by the Fear & Greed Index, which stands at 32. In light of the current Fed interest rate of 3.50-3.75 and the upcoming FOMC meeting on July 29, 2026, investors remain cautious. In today's analysis, we will take a look at 12 key instruments that may be influenced by these macroeconomic conditions and discuss their potential directions in the coming days.

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Bitcoin - Daily Chart (D1)

Bitcoin - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart, Bitcoin shows signs of a rebound after a recent decline. The price is near the level of 61,600 USD, which may serve as a local support level. The trend is still bearish, but positive signals are emerging, such as an increase in volume with the recent bullish candles. The upper resistance level is around 63,000 USD, which could be a key level to break to confirm the sustainability of the upward movement.

Bitcoin - 4H Chart

Bitcoin - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin is forming a consolidation pattern with clear support around 60,000 USD. Recent candles indicate an attempt to break upwards, with resistance at 62,000 USD. An increase in volume during the breakout may suggest further upward movement if confirmed by subsequent candles.

Bitcoin - 1H Chart

Bitcoin - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows stabilization above 61,500 USD, with an attempt to continue the upward trend. The key resistance level is 62,000 USD, while support is at 61,000 USD. An increase in volume upon breaking above resistance may suggest further gains.

Bitcoin - 15-minute chart

Bitcoin - 15-minute chart

On the 15-minute chart, Bitcoin shows signs of short-term strength, with clear support at 61,400 USD. The price is testing resistance at 61,800 USD. A breakout of this level with high volume could lead to a quick move towards 62,000 USD.

Bitcoin - Options data

The Put/Call ratio of 0.40 and a very bullish sentiment suggest an advantage for bulls in the options market. Key call levels at $35 (+1.4% from ATM) may indicate a short-term target for BTCUSD. High open interest at the $31 and $30 strike for puts may indicate strong support in these areas. Max pain at the $31 level suggests that the market may aim for this level in case of uncertainty.

Bitcoin - Summary

Bitcoin shows signs of a rebound on all analyzed timeframes, however, breaking the level of 62,000 USD will be crucial for confirming further increases. The sentiment in the options market is very bullish, which supports the bullish scenario. Key support is at 60,000 USD, and resistance at 63,000 USD. The bias is moderately bullish with caution regarding key resistance levels.

Ethereum - Daily Chart (D1)

Ethereum - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of Ethereum, a clear downward trend is visible, which has been ongoing since the beginning of the year. Currently, the price is bouncing off local support at the level of 1600 USD, with an attempt to break above 1700 USD. The current increases may encounter resistance around 1800 USD, where there is a previous consolidation level. Technical indicators, such as RSI, suggest a possible rebound, however, the main trend still remains downward.

Ethereum - 4H Chart

Ethereum - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, we see a continuation of the rebound from the level of 1600 USD, with the current move towards 1720 USD. Short-term support is at the level of 1650 USD, and resistance is around 1750 USD. Price movements in recent days indicate bullish momentum, but a breakout of resistance is necessary to confirm further increases.

Ethereum - 1H Chart

Ethereum - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows dynamic increases that brought the price above 1700 USD. Current support is at 1680 USD, with resistance at 1725 USD. The bullish momentum suggests the possibility of further increases, however, the market may need a correction before continuing the upward movement.

Ethereum - 15-minute chart

Ethereum - 15-minute chart

The 15-minute chart indicates consolidation after rapid increases above 1710 USD. Short-term support is located at 1700 USD, with resistance at 1715 USD. The current consolidation may be a preparatory phase for the next move, likely upward, as long as support holds.

Ethereum - Options data

Options data shows a strongly bullish sentiment with a put/call ratio of 0.24, indicating an advantage for call options. Key call levels are 14 USD (+3.8% from ATM) and 15 USD (+15.4% from ATM), suggesting expectations for further increases. Max pain is at 12 USD, indicating potential support. A large volume of call options confirms the market's bullish outlook, which may support further increases in ETHUSD.

Ethereum - Summary

The overall sentiment for Ethereum is bullish, supported by options data and a technical rebound from 1600 USD. Key levels are support at 1650 USD and resistance at 1750 USD. A break of this resistance could open the way to higher levels around 1800 USD. The bias remains bullish, although the market may need a short-term correction.

Gold - Daily Chart (D1)

Gold - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart, gold XAUUSD shows signs of a reversal of the downward trend, recording an increase of 1.19%. The price bounced off the support around 4000 and is heading towards the resistance at 4200. The current upward movement is supported by increased volume, suggesting growing investor interest. It will be crucial whether the price can maintain above 4200, which could confirm further upside potential.

Gold - 4H Chart

Gold - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, a breakout from consolidation is visible, suggesting bullish pressure. The price has broken through resistance at 4150 and is now heading towards 4200. The RSI indicates bullish momentum, but caution is advised for possible corrections after such a dynamic move. The key support level is now 4100.

Gold - 1H Chart

Gold - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows a continuation of the uptrend, with local resistance at 4180. If the price stays above this level, further movement towards 4200 is possible. Technical indicators indicate strong momentum, although short-term corrections are possible before further increases.

Gold - 15min Chart

Gold - 15min Chart

The 15-minute chart shows stabilization after the recent upward movement. The price oscillates around 4175, which may indicate a temporary consolidation before the next move. Key support is at 4160, and resistance at 4180. Monitoring the volume and price reaction at these levels will be crucial for short-term decisions.

Gold - Options Data

Options data on GLD indicates a very bullish sentiment with a Put/Call ratio of 0.00, which means there is no interest in put options. Key call levels indicate potential targets for increases: $375, $380, $390, and $400. High OI at the $400 and $390 levels suggests that investors expect further increases. The sentiment in the options market supports a bullish scenario for XAUUSD.

Gold - Summary

Gold XAUUSD is showing signs of a reversal of the downtrend, with key resistance at 4200. The bullish momentum is strong, which supports the bullish options sentiment. Key support levels are at 4100 and 4160, while resistance is at 4180 and 4200. In the context of options, further increases are possible, especially with support from the options market and a very bullish sentiment.

Silver - Daily Chart (D1)

Silver - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of XAGUSD, there is a rebound from support around 60 USD, with a clear increase above 62 USD. The long-term trend remains bearish, but the recent rebound may indicate a corrective upward movement. Key resistance is at the level of 65 USD, which may be tested if the increases continue. Technical indicators may suggest the possibility of further upward movement, although the situation requires monitoring the reaction at the level of 65 USD.

Silver - 4H Chart

Silver - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, consolidation is visible after a clear upward movement from around 60 USD to 62 USD. Currently, the price is stabilizing, which may suggest preparation for the next move. Support is at 61.50 USD, and resistance is at 62.50 USD. A breakout of one of these levels may determine the further direction of movement.

Silver - 1H Chart

Silver - 1H Chart

On the hourly chart, XAGUSD is consolidating in a narrow range between 62 USD and 62.50 USD after the recent increase. We observe slight upward pressure; however, the lack of a decisive breakout may suggest a temporary pause in the trend. Support is visible at the level of 62 USD, and a breakout of resistance at 62.50 USD could open the way for further increases.

Silver - 15min Chart

Silver - 15min Chart

The 15-minute chart shows short-term consolidation around 62.30-62.50 USD. The current structure suggests a temporary halt, but buying pressure may lead to a test of higher levels. Support is at 62.30 USD, and a break above 62.50 USD may signal further increases.

Silver - Options Data

Options data for the SLV ETF indicates a very bullish sentiment with a low put/call ratio of 0.04. There is a dominant interest in call options, particularly at the levels of 54 USD and 58 USD, which suggests expectations of further increases. The Max Pain level at 58 USD indicates a potential target area for investors. The high volume of call options and low volume of put options confirm the bullish market sentiment.

Silver - Summary

Silver XAGUSD is oscillating in a bullish sentiment, supported by options data and the recent price rebound. The key resistance level is 65 USD, while support is at 60 USD. Further increases may be supported by positive market sentiment; however, investors should monitor the reaction at key levels. In the event of a breakout above 62.50 USD, further upward movement is possible.

S&P 500 - Daily chart (D1)

S&P 500 - Daily chart (D1)

On the daily chart of the S&P 500, there is a continuation of the upward trend; however, the index is approaching the resistance zone around 7500 points. Recently, there has been noticeable consolidation around the level of 7480. The volume remains relatively stable, suggesting that the market is waiting for a catalyst for further movement. Support can be identified in the range of 7350-7400, and a break of this area may suggest a downward correction.

S&P 500 - 4H Chart

S&P 500 - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, the S&P 500 is forming a potential triangle pattern, indicating a possible continuation move after a breakout. The price is near the upper resistance line, suggesting bullish pressure. The current support level is around 7425, and resistance is at 7500. The oscillators indicate a possibility of local overbought conditions, which may lead to a short-term correction.

S&P 500 - 1H Chart

S&P 500 - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows that the S&P 500 is testing local resistance around 7480-7500 points. Momentum indicators suggest the possibility of further increases, but we are approaching the overbought zone. Key support below is at the level of 7440, which serves as a short-term reference point for traders.

S&P 500 - 15-minute chart

S&P 500 - 15-minute chart

The 15-minute chart suggests the presence of short-term consolidation in the range of 7460-7480. A reduction in volume is observed, which may indicate a lack of decisiveness among market participants. A breakout from this range could set the direction for the upcoming hours, with key support at 7460 and resistance at 7480.

S&P 500 - Options data

Options data for SPY indicates a very bullish sentiment, with an exceptionally low put/call ratio of 0.00. The largest open interest among call options is at 750, suggesting that investors expect further increases. The max pain level is also at 750, which may act as a magnet for the price. The lack of open put positions indicates minimal bearish expectations in the short term.

S&P 500 - Summary

S&P 500 is in an upward trend, with key resistance at 7500. Sentiment is bullish, supported by options data and a lack of selling pressure. Key support is at 7425, and breaking it may suggest a correction. In the short term, there is potential for growth, but a correction for profit consolidation is possible.

Oil - Daily chart (D1)

Oil - Daily chart (D1)

On the daily chart of WTI, a downward trend has been visible for several months, with the price oscillating around 68 USD per barrel. Currently, the price is approaching the support level at 65 USD, which could serve as a rebound point. Technical indicators, such as RSI, indicate oversold conditions, suggesting a potential upward rebound. However, the downward trend may continue until there is a breakout of resistance at the 75 USD level.

Oil - 4H Chart

Oil - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, WTI is consolidating between 68 and 70 USD after recent declines. We are observing a slight rebound towards the upper boundary of this range, which may suggest an attempt to reverse the trend. The key resistance level is 72 USD, while support is at 66 USD. The MACD and RSI indicators suggest a possible upward movement in the short term.

Oil - 1H Chart

Oil - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows that WTI recently bounced off the level of 68 USD and is currently testing resistance at the level of 70 USD. Volume indicators suggest an increase in buyer interest. If the price breaks the level of 70 USD, a further move up to 72 USD is possible. Support remains at the level of 68 USD, which is significant in the context of maintaining the current rebound.

Oil - 15-minute chart

Oil - 15-minute chart

On the 15-minute chart, a short-term rebound is visible from the level of 68 USD with clear resistance at the level of 69.5 USD. Volume indicators are moderate, but the RSI indicates possible short-term overbought conditions in the market. Support is at the level of 68.5 USD. A breakout of resistance may lead to further increases towards 70 USD.

Oil - Options data

Option data indicates a moderately bullish sentiment with a put/call ratio of 0.53. The largest open interest in call options is at the strike of 120 USD, suggesting bullish expectations in the long term. The max pain level is 120 USD, which also supports the bullish scenario. In put options, the largest open interest is at the strike of 100 USD, representing a key support level.

Oil - Summary

The bias for WTI is moderately bullish, with key resistance at 70 USD and support at 68 USD. Options data and technical indicators suggest a potential rebound, although the overall trend remains bearish. A breakout above 70 USD could lead to further gains towards 72 USD. Key macro events may influence the further direction of price movement.

Euro/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

Euro/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of EUR/USD, an upward trend is visible, with current strong support at the level of 1.1400. Recent sessions suggest the presence of buyers, which may lead to further increases towards 1.1500. The upward momentum is supported by an increase in volume, indicating that investors believe in the further strengthening of the euro. It is worth noting the local resistance at 1.1600, which may pose a challenge for further increases.

Euro/Dollar - 4H Chart

Euro/Dollar - 4H Chart

The 4-hour chart shows a continuation of the upward trend. Currently, the pair is approaching the resistance level at 1.1460, which may pose a short-term barrier. A breakout of this level could open the way for a test of 1.1500. The moving averages indicate a strong upward trend, suggesting that corrections may be limited.

Euro/Dollar - 1H Chart

Euro/Dollar - 1H Chart

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD, a dynamic upward movement is visible. The price is approaching resistance at 1.1460, which may be tested in the coming hours. Technical indicators, such as RSI, indicate the possibility of a short-term correction, but the overall momentum remains bullish. Key support is at 1.1420.

Euro/Dollar - 15min Chart

Euro/Dollar - 15min Chart

The 15-minute chart shows consolidation around the level of 1.1450 with slight buying pressure. The short-term resistance is at 1.1460, and the support is at 1.1440. Activity in this area may indicate a potential breakout to the upside, especially if the volume increases.

Euro/Dollar - Options data

Options data for FXE indicates a very bullish sentiment with dominant Call Volume and a low Put/Call Ratio of 0.14. Key Call levels reach up to 4.8% above ATM, suggesting bullish expectations. Max Pain at $106 may act as a short- to medium-term price magnet. Overall, options data supports further increases in EUR/USD.

Euro/Dollar - Summary

EUR/USD is showing bullish momentum with key resistance levels at 1.1460 and 1.1500. Options data and charts support the bullish scenario, although a short-term correction may occur before further increases. Key support is at 1.1400, and a breakout above 1.1460 could lead to higher levels. The bias remains bullish.

Pound/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

Pound/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

Error generating D1 analysis for GBP/USD

Pound/Dollar - 4H Chart

Pound/Dollar - 4H Chart

Error generating H4 analysis

Pound/Dollar - 1H Chart

Pound/Dollar - 1H Chart

Error generating H1 analysis

Pound/Dollar - 15-minute chart

Pound/Dollar - 15-minute chart

Error generating M15 analysis

Pound/Dollar - Summary

Error generating summary

Australian Dollar/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

Australian Dollar/Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of AUD/USD, an upward correction is visible after a previous downward phase. The price bounced off the support level of 0.6850, approaching the resistance at 0.7000. The current momentum indicates further increases, although strong resistances may limit the upside potential. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in the neutral zone, suggesting the possibility of a continuation of the upward movement. Key support is at 0.6850, and resistance is at 0.7000.

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 4H Chart

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart of AUD/USD, a strong bullish impulse is visible, which led to a breakout of the local resistance at 0.6920. Currently, the pair is approaching the level of 0.6960, where consolidation may occur. We are observing increased volume during the rises, which may indicate interest from buyers. The nearest support is at 0.6920, and resistance is at 0.6960.

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 1H Chart

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 1H Chart

On the hourly chart, AUD/USD continues to rise, approaching resistance at 0.6960. The RSI indicates overbought conditions, which may suggest potential weakening of momentum. A move above 0.6960 will open the way to 0.7000. Current support can be located at 0.6920. The short-term uptrend remains intact.

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 15min Chart

Australian Dollar/Dollar - 15min Chart

The 15-minute chart shows dynamic increases from the level of 0.6920 to 0.6945. However, there are signs of a possible exhaustion of buying strength at the current level, which may lead to a short-term correction around the support at 0.6920. Technical indicators suggest a temporary overbought market.

Australian Dollar/Dollar - Options Data

FXA options data shows a clear advantage of put options over call options, suggesting market pessimism regarding AUD/USD. The high put/call ratio of 2.30 and bearish sentiment confirm this picture. The greatest interest in put options occurs at the $70 level, which may be a key resistance level. Max Pain at $70 indicates potential areas of consolidation or trend reversal if the FXA price approaches this level.

Australian Dollar/Dollar - Summary

AUD/USD is in a short-term uptrend, however, long-term options indicators suggest possible weakening. Key levels are support at 0.6850 and resistance at 0.7000. Market sentiment, supported by options data, remains pessimistic with a predominance of put options. It is worth watching the price reaction at 0.6960, where a correction or consolidation may occur.

Dollar/Yen - Daily Chart (D1)

Dollar/Yen - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of USD/JPY, we observe a strong upward trend that peaked at 162.84 before a correction occurred. Currently, the price is approaching support around 160.00, which could be a key level for maintaining the upward trend. The current market sentiment indicates a possible rebound; however, a further decline below 160.00 could suggest a deeper correction. Technical indicators may indicate oversold conditions, which favor a potential rebound.

Dollar/Yen - 4H Chart

Dollar/Yen - 4H Chart

The 4-hour chart shows a clear correction from the peak at 162.84 to the current levels around 160.76. The price is testing support around 160.50, with further declines potentially opening the way to 159.50. The current candlestick formations may suggest a temporary halt in the declines. Investors should monitor the reaction at the current support levels, which may indicate a potential rebound.

Dollar/Yen - 1H Chart

Dollar/Yen - 1H Chart

On the hourly chart, there is strong selling pressure that has led to a drop in price below 161.00. Currently, the level of 160.50 acts as support, and breaking this level could drive the price lower, towards 160.00. On the other hand, a rebound from this level could attract buyers, which could fuel a bullish correction.

Dollar/Yen - 15-minute chart

Dollar/Yen - 15-minute chart

The 15-minute chart shows short-term consolidation after a sharp decline. Current support is at 160.50, and the nearest resistance is at 161.00. Indicators may suggest oversold conditions, which could favor a short-term rebound. Traders should monitor price reactions at these levels to identify potential direction changes.

Dollar/Yen - Options data

Options data related to the FXY ETF indicates a very bullish sentiment, with a low Put/Call Ratio of 0.07. Key call levels, such as the strike at $58 (+3.6%) and $57 (+1.8%), suggest expectations for an increase in USD/JPY. High volume and open positions on calls may support further growth. The maximum pain at $58 may serve as an additional target for increases. Puts have significantly smaller open positions, indicating limited bearish expectations.

Dollar/Yen - Summary

USD/JPY is in a correction after a recent peak. Key support is at 160.50, and its maintenance may favor a rebound. Expectations for an increase are supported by options data, with a key target at 162.00. However, a break below 160.00 could suggest a deeper correction. Investors should monitor the reaction to current supports.

Dollar/Franc - Daily Chart (D1)

Dollar/Franc - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of USD/CHF, we observe the latest upward wave that reached resistance near 0.8200, after which a correction began. Support can be identified around 0.8000, where the price may look for a rebound. The current correction indicates possible further weakening, but as long as the price remains above 0.8000, the upward trend remains intact.

Dollar/Franc - 4H Chart

Dollar/Franc - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, there is a clear downward trend from the level of 0.8200. The price has broken through several significant supports and is currently approaching the level of 0.8000. Technical indicators suggest the possibility of a short-term rebound, but the overall trend on this timeframe remains bearish.

Dollar/Franc - 1H Chart

Dollar/Franc - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows a strong downtrend with several attempts to bounce back that were quickly extinguished. The nearest support is at 0.8000, and resistance is at 0.8050. The price may attempt to test the support before a potential bounce towards the resistance.

Dollar/Franc - 15min Chart

Dollar/Franc - 15min Chart

In the 15-minute interval, a continuation of the declines is visible with attempts at short-term rebounds. The current support level is 0.8010, and the nearest resistance is at 0.8035. The trend remains bearish, but quick corrective moves are possible.

Dollar/Franc - Options data

Options data shows a very bullish sentiment, indicating expectations for growth in the long term. The put/call ratio is 0.09, suggesting a dominance of bullish expectations. The highest interest is at the level of $108, which may be a key support level. Max Pain is also at the level of $108, which may influence price stabilization.

Dollar/Franc - Summary

USD/CHF is in a downward correction after recent increases. Key support is at 0.8000, and resistance is at 0.8050. The options sentiment is bullish, suggesting a potential rebound in the longer term. On shorter time frames, there is visible downward pressure, but corrective rebounds are possible. The short-term bias remains bearish until the price breaks the resistance at 0.8050.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - Daily Chart (D1)

On the daily chart of USD/CAD, a clear uptrend has been visible for several months. Currently, the price is at 1.4170, approaching local resistance around 1.4250. The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone, which may suggest a potential correction. Support is at 1.4000, and a break below it could indicate a trend reversal.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 4H Chart

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, consolidation is visible after the recent upward movement. The price is testing support at the level of 1.4150. If this level is maintained, a return to increases towards 1.4250 is possible. Otherwise, a breakout may lead to further declines towards 1.4100.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 1H Chart

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 1H Chart

The hourly chart shows that the price oscillates around the level of 1.4170. A bearish formation is visible with resistance at 1.4200. Technical indicators suggest the possibility of further declines, although a breakout above 1.4200 could negate this scenario and indicate a rise to 1.4250.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 15min Chart

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - 15min Chart

On the 15-minute chart of USD/CAD, we observe fluctuations in a narrow range of 1.4150-1.4180. Momentum indicators indicate short-term downward pressure. A break of support at 1.4150 may open the way for further declines, while a breach of 1.4180 may suggest a corrective upward move.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - Options Data

Option data indicates a very bullish sentiment with a low put/call ratio of 0.34. The largest open interest is at the strike level of $81, which suggests that investors may expect further increases in USD/CAD. The Max Pain at $81 also supports this hypothesis. However, the current support levels for puts suggest that investors are hedging against short-term declines.

Dollar/Canadian Dollar - Summary

USD/CAD is in a long-term uptrend; however, short-term technical indicators suggest a possible correction. Key resistance levels are 1.4200 and 1.4250, while support is at 1.4150 and 1.4000. Options data indicates a bullish sentiment, which may support further increases. Investors should monitor breakouts of these levels to confirm the market's further direction.

Frequently Asked Questions

How to analyze trading instruments effectively?
Effective analysis combines technical analysis (charts, patterns, indicators) with fundamental analysis (economic data, news events). Understanding both short-term price action and long-term trends is essential.
How do Fed decisions impact markets?
Fed rate decisions affect all asset classes. Higher rates strengthen USD, pressure gold prices, and often weigh on stocks. The tone of Fed communication is often more important than the decision itself.

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